{"id":16006,"date":"2024-10-10T04:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-10-10T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/?p=16006"},"modified":"2024-10-10T06:54:03","modified_gmt":"2024-10-10T10:54:03","slug":"the-antihuman-insanity-of-net-zero-climate-policy-how-climate-catastrophist-energy-and-farming-policies-threaten-human-thriving","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/article\/concise\/the-antihuman-insanity-of-net-zero-climate-policy-how-climate-catastrophist-energy-and-farming-policies-threaten-human-thriving\/","title":{"rendered":"The Antihuman Insanity of Net-Zero Climate Policy: How Climate Catastrophist Energy and Farming Policies Threaten Human Thriving"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Self-professed evangelical climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe, a professor in (significantly) the <em>political<\/em> science department of Texas Tech University, published, as paid content, her essay \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/www.christianitytoday.com\/partners\/love-thy-neighbor-the-christian-case-for-climate-action\/___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6NjZjNDo4ODBmNWNmMDQyY2I4MjZmYjJhM2ZkYmZiYmU5NTFkMTcwZmU4NDgxMzk5ZmIwMTUzODdmZjlmNDg0MDk3NjM3OnA6VDpO\">Love Thy Neighbor: The Christian Case for Climate Action<\/a>,\u201d in <em>Christianity Today<\/em> on August 30, 2024. Its appearance a month after the release of Megan Basham\u2019s <em>Shepherds for Sale: How Evangelical Leaders Traded the Truth for a Leftist Agenda<\/em> was quite ironic. Basham repeatedly, and convincingly, charges various evangelical leaders with abusing the Second Great Commandment to \u201clove thy neighbor\u201d by pinning it to every political policy they want\u2014climate action, open borders and unrestricted immigration, opposition to the death penalty, adoption of Critical Race Theory, approval of the LGBTQ+ agenda, and more.<a href=\"#_ftn1\" id=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a> Indeed, in her chapter on climate change, Basham presents as an example of such abuse a lecture by Jonathan Moo (professor of environmental studies at Whitworth College), delivered at Southeastern Baptist Theological Seminary, titled \u201cLoving God and Neighbor in an Age of Climate Crisis.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Disclosure: Basham writes positively of the Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation, the nonprofit I founded, and about me.<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p>So, I was tempted to title this essay \u201cLove Thy Neighbor: The Christian Case AGAINST Climate Action.\u201d But precisely in light of Basham\u2019s above critique, I\u2019ll refrain from that. Is \u201cclimate action\u201d really loving your neighbor? Is it ever enough to say, \u201cI did it because I loved\u201d\u2014when that\u2019s such a common excuse for violations of God\u2019s clear commands, e.g., against adultery and fornication? Or might Christian economist Walter Williams have gotten something right when he wrote, in his book <em>The State Against Blacks<\/em>, \u201ctruly compassionate policy requires dispassionate analysis\u201d? So, dear reader, when you finish this article, I\u2019ll leave it to you to decide what love of neighbor calls for in response to claims of catastrophic climate change and demands for radical action to combat it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Someone Pulled the Fire Alarm, But Where Is the Fire?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In May of 2023, former Secretary of State John Kerry, speaking as President Joe Biden\u2019s special envoy on climate, told a gathering in Washington, D.C. that the world must achieve drastic cuts in greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture to avoid what <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/www.reuters.com\/article\/idUSL1N3771SC\/___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6NTY2Yzo4MDQwYjEzMTEwYzhkYzcyNWRjODUzODI4YzY4YmI1YjhmNzg0NzM4ZGUxMmQ1NDMxYmQ2NjAzMGJkMzQzY2E2OnA6VDpO\">Reuters called<\/a> \u201cthe worst impacts of climate change.\u201d Claiming \u201cA 2-degree future could result in another 600 million people not getting enough to eat,\u201d Kerry added, \u201cYou can\u2019t continue to warm the planet while also expecting to feed it.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(Purveyors of panic prefer to provide protection for their predictions by adopting frightening but equivocal language. \u201cCould result\u201d also means \u201ccould fail to result.\u201d If the quasi-prediction proves wrong, Kerry can always say, \u201cWell, I didn\u2019t say it <em>would<\/em>; I only said it <em>could<\/em>.\u201d)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the basis of this sort of reasoning, and at the urging of climate-change catastrophists the world over, <a href=\"file:\/\/\/C:\/Users\/ECalvinBeisner\/OneDrive%20-%20The%20Cornwall%20Alliance\/Documents\/Federal%20Vision%20Book%20-%20All%20Chaps%20in%20PDF.zip\">President Joe Biden pledged<\/a> that the U.S. would reach \u201cnet zero\u201d greenhouse gas (primarily carbon dioxide) emissions by 2050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kerry\u2019s speech was at the AIM Climate Summit\u2014the \u201cAgricultural Innovation Mission for Climate.\u201d It advocates for \u201cclimate-smart agriculture,\u201d i.e., growing food in ways that don\u2019t increase global atmospheric greenhouse gas emissions (more on this later).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the case of agriculture, the principal component of such emissions is nitrous oxide, a greenhouse gas that is, molecule for molecule, <em>230 times more powerful<\/em> than carbon dioxide, the most well-known villain (the alleged, <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/cornwallalliance.org\/carbon-dioxide-and-air-temperature-who-leads-and-who-follows-2\/___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6ZDgxMzoyZDRhOGY5YzhjNzg3YWMyMGI4YmI4NTBlMzgxOWJkNjBhZmJmNTM4NzhhNDBiMmQyMjUyMGVmNTE4MGU0NDE1OnA6VDpO\">but probably not<\/a>, <em>sole <\/em>driver) of global warming (aka climate change). And since the whole world has been taught that carbon dioxide emissions are evil because carbon dioxide warms the planet, and warming the planet is evil (never mind that cold kills far more people than warmth), it\u2019s a no-brainer that nitrous oxide emissions must be 230 times more evil. Quod Erat Demonstrandum\u2014the prosecutor rests his case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Not So Fast<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/cornwallalliance.org\/how-the-war-on-nitrous-oxide-threatens-global-food-supply\/___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6NzdhMzo1MWJlZWFiOTU1MzI0M2E2YTA1MTczMTRlMjcxZDNmODYyODdmYzE0OGE3NDJjZDBlNjRmMDg1NGIwYzNmMjE3OnA6VDpO\">I pointed out nearly two years ago<\/a>, the devil\u2019s in the details\u2014details called \u201cradiative forcing,\u201d that is, the capacity of a molecule of a greenhouse gas to absorb infrared radiation (heat) moving from Earth\u2019s surface out toward space and send some of it back down to the surface, thus impeding Earth\u2019s ability to cool its surface.<a href=\"#_ftn2\" id=\"_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a> Those who reason that since nitrous oxide is 230 times more powerful than carbon dioxide as a greenhouse gas neglect, <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/cornwallalliance.org\/how-the-war-on-nitrous-oxide-threatens-global-food-supply\/___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6NzdhMzo1MWJlZWFiOTU1MzI0M2E2YTA1MTczMTRlMjcxZDNmODYyODdmYzE0OGE3NDJjZDBlNjRmMDg1NGIwYzNmMjE3OnA6VDpO\">I explained<\/a>,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. My apologies, but what follows is going to have to get into some numbers and science. To avoid littering this article with dozens of references to technical sources, let me simply state that support for most of the details and all of the overall picture appears in <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/www.amazon.com\/Climate-Energy-Realism-Calvin-Beisner\/dp\/1684512670___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6ZWJmMTo3OWYzMjJhOTJhZTYyYWQ0YzkzNGI2OTExNjZlNTIxYWRkYmY0YjFjOTEzYjZiZjU1NGYxN2Y2ODZiMGUzZGM1OnA6VDpO\"><em>Climate and Energy: The Case for Realism<\/em><\/a> [Regnery, 2024]. I co-edited this volume with my colleague, award-winning climatology professor Dr. David R. Legates, and it contains sixteen chapters by nine climate scientists, three economists, three energy experts, and myself.<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>. . . two important things. First, nitrous oxide\u2019s concentration in the atmosphere is about 0.334 parts per million, while carbon dioxide\u2019s is nearly 1,300 times as high: 420 parts per million. Second, and more important, carbon dioxide\u2019s concentration is increasing at a rate some 3,000 times that of nitrous oxide. Consequently, the contribution of each year\u2019s addition of nitrous oxide to the annual increase in forcing is 230 divided by 3000, or about 1\/13th [7.7 percent] that of carbon dioxide. . . .<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To cut to the chase, it&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/co2coalition.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Nitrous-Oxide-and-Climate.pdf___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6NWZhMTo0ZjdhNGI2MGEyZTA0MzJmZTZhZDdiODNiOTA3YzVkNjVmYWM5OTNlNGVmMmJkNDVmMWVjM2M5ZmE2MGI3NDk2OnA6VDpO\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">can be calculated<\/a>, based on the well-understood physics of radiative transfer, that the&nbsp;<em>combined<\/em>&nbsp;radiative forcing of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide that are being added to the atmosphere is enough to raise global average atmospheric temperature by about 0.1 degree Celsius (0.18 degree Fahrenheit) per decade, or 1.0 degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) per century. But since the rate of increase of nitrous oxide\u2019s concentration in the atmosphere is much, much lower than that of either carbon dioxide or methane, it turns out that the radiative forcing of nitrous oxide being added to the atmosphere is only about 0.01 degree Fahrenheit per decade, or 0.1 degree per century\u2014one eighteenth of the combined warming from all three gases.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>In short, nitrous oxide\u2019s contribution to global warming is minuscule. How minuscule? Well, consider that:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>in locales around the world, a fairly typical range from nighttime low to daytime high is about 30 degrees F (about 17 degrees C), and from winter low to summer high about 100 degrees F (about 56 degrees C), and no one panics about those;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>peak global average temperature in the Holocene Climate Optimum (generally thought to have been about 6,500 years ago) was probably about 1.8 to 3.6 degrees F (1\u20132 degrees C) warmer than the present;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>since 1979 (the start of satellite global temperature monitoring\u2014the best we have), global average temperature has <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/www.drroyspencer.com\/2024\/09\/uah-global-temperature-update-for-august-2024-0-88-deg-c\/___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6YzQ0MTpjNGJhNGU3MTZiYzg1ZjI2ZjEyZWU4MDBjNzZjNmI3ZTMzOTQ4M2JmNjY4MDgxODBhNzVhZjcwMDQwNTNhYzMwOnA6VDpO\">risen an average of about 0.288 degree F (0.16 degree C) per decade<\/a>, &nbsp;which extrapolates out to 2.8 degrees F\/1.6 degrees C per century, assuming an unchanging rate, (see the last bullet below);<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>the Holocene Climate Optimum is named such because living conditions for all kinds of life, animal and plant, were better than prior and following times, including the present, indeed, optimal;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>at warming\u2019s rate since 1979, it would take over a century to reach the Holocene Climate Optimum\u2019s peak temperature; and<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>natural cycles (especially solar), more likely to bring about cooling than warming, could slow, stop, or reverse the warming well before then.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>As with carbon dioxide and methane (the other two main greenhouse gases aside from water vapor, which accounts, with cyclical variations, for anywhere from about 80 to 95 percent of Earth\u2019s greenhouse effect), nitrous oxide must be addressed in terms of tradeoffs. Just as it\u2019s silly to think, \u201cThis medication has some negative side effects, therefore I won\u2019t take it,\u201d when its benefits outweigh its harms, so also it\u2019s silly to say, \u201cThis gas can warm the atmosphere, so let\u2019s stop emitting it.\u201d What if the benefits of the gas itself (such as enabling plants to do photosynthesis\u2014without it, they all die, and so do all the people and critters that depend on them) and the benefits of the emitting activities (providing energy from coal, oil, and natural gas, enabling us to make more food, clothing, shelter, transportation, communication, and all the other material things on which long, healthy lives depend) <em>outweigh<\/em> the emissions\u2019 harms?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, there are all kinds of reasons to doubt that a 3.6-degree Fahrenheit (2-degree Celsius) rise in global average temperature would devastate global agriculture. We might start with the fact that greenhouse warming theory says warming happens mostly toward the poles, mostly in winter, and mostly at night. Why is that important? Because it means most warming is in places and times that are cold. And cold is far worse for agriculture (and people) than heat. Global warming lengthens growing seasons by making the first freeze in autumn later and the last freeze in spring earlier. So, it expands the area we can farm successfully and allows multiple cropping in places where it can\u2019t be done in a colder world!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We might also point out that the higher concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere\u2014which Kerry and other climate-change alarmists blame for most of the warming\u2014enables plants to grow better in both warmer and cooler temperatures and in wetter and drier soils, to make better use of soil nutrients, and to resist diseases and pests better, resulting in an average 35 percent improvement in plant growth efficiency. All of those, too, expand plants\u2019 growing ranges, and it also makes more food available for everything that depends on plants\u2014meaning all the rest of life on Earth. Oh, and\u2014by the way\u2014who benefits most from that? Poor people, for whom food gets more affordable. But animals do, too\u2014as the plants on which they depend expand their ranges, pressure toward their extinction declines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">When Helping Hurts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Nonetheless, let\u2019s assume that Kerry is right as a starting point for considering the tradeoffs of implementing climate change policies versus the alleged harms of the resulting climate change. If the world doesn\u2019t achieve \u201cnet zero,\u201d and so global average temperature rises by 3.6 degrees F (2 degrees C), 600 million people won\u2019t get enough to eat. Let\u2019s assume, in fact, that they\u2019ll die.<a href=\"#_ftn3\" id=\"_ftnref3\">[3]<\/a> &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. We can only assume that by \u201ca 2-degree future\u201d Kerry meant a future with global average temperature about 2 degrees C\/3.6 degrees F warmer not than today but than before modern warming began about 1850. If he means two degrees warmer than today, it will take longer for any associated harms to happen, which makes his fears less justified. He didn\u2019t specify, but that\u2019s typical practice among climate scientists, climate policymakers, and climate activists.<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p>What must we do to achieve \u201cnet zero\u201d greenhouse gas emissions? Let\u2019s start with what must happen in farming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Farmers would have to greatly reduce their use of machinery driven by gasoline or diesel fuels, which emit carbon dioxide when burned. This by itself would greatly reduce their productivity. Precisely how much hardly matters to our calculation, but it\u2019s helpful to recall that in 1850, average U.S. wheat yield per acre was about <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/agcensus.library.cornell.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/1890a_v5-04.pdf___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6MjU2MzoxZjk2ZDU0NzZmYzYzMzUxMmQxY2ZmYjQ2ZWM1MDE0YzQ4ZDQxODE4MTRlMTY4YzNmZjRhZjQ0MWIwOTk1NWE4OnA6VDpO\">five to fifteen bushels<\/a> (depending on region), and in 2023 it was about <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/www.statista.com\/statistics\/190356\/wheat-yield-per-harvested-acre-in-the-us-from-2000\/___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6N2YyZDplMzU1NzI1ZTUwY2MwZjU2NDQwODY1ZjBkNWQ4ZTA5MmM3NDUwODhhMTBjY2JlN2QxMzI5OTY1MmFkYTZjZmFkOnA6VDpO\">48.6 bushels<\/a>. A fair amount of that difference is due to mechanization. Again, we\u2019re not aiming for precision here, just for concept, so let\u2019s assume this reduction of fuel-powered machinery results in half the difference, or 16.8 to 21.8 bushels per acre. We could provide similar figures for other crops, but the point is clear: de-mechanizing farming would hugely reduce its productivity, making food more scarce and therefore more expensive, and thus making it <em>more difficult<\/em> for the world\u2019s poor to get enough to eat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even more importantly, farmers would have to greatly reduce their use of nitrous fertilizers\u2014the source of their nitrous oxide emissions. Danish environmental economist and statistician Bj\u00f8rn Lomborg, head of the Copenhagen Consensus, <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/follow-the-science-leads-to-ruin-climate-environment-policy-3f427c05___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6ZmVkYTpkYTI1NDE5MzU5M2M4MWU5NGM1ZWM5MGZjNmQzMjZmZGIzYzBjYTg0NzJmNDBkOWM5YTYwNjA3NjM1MTAyNWQwOnA6VDpO\">points out<\/a>, \u201cHalf the world\u2019s population entirely depends on food grown with synthetic fertilizer produced almost entirely by natural gas. If we rapidly ceased using fossil fuels, four billion people would suddenly be without food.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And that number is only counting deaths due to depriving farming of natural gas-derived fertilizers. Additional billions of people depend on fossil fuels for electricity, heat, steel, cement, plastics, and, of course, transportation. Eliminating fossil fuels\u2014which Kerry wants\u2014would mean depriving people of all those things, too. So, Lomborg concludes, citing <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/money\/consumer-affairs\/just-stop-oil-what-happens-six-billion-might-die\/___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6YjM4Yzo1YTYyMmYwYjFhZGZlOGRlMGY1ZjFlZGYwMDMwODlmOGM5ZGJhZWQ3M2IyZTgyZTIxYmUxMDMzYjAxZjQyNjA3OnA6VDpO\">a study by economist Neil Record<\/a>, the result would be around six billion deaths.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If what we do to prevent 600 million deaths causes six billion deaths\u2014or even just four billion\u2014have we done well?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s not all that\u2019s wrong with Kerry\u2019s demand. Even according to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in its 2018 <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/www.ipcc.ch\/sr15\/___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6NTA0Nzo4ZmY4NmJiYjMwZDg1NzM4NWJhNjZiZGRlMzc1MjY4ZmYzOTllMmU0NTQ1OWY1YTJjYjhhNmE1MmQyNTQ1MzRiOnA6VDpO\"><em>Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5<\/em><em>\u00b0<\/em><\/a>, \u201cUnder the no-policy baseline scenario [that is, if no climate change measures are adopted], temperature rises by [6.59\u00b0F, or] 3.66\u00b0C [from the pre-Industrial Revolution of late 1700s, but they would only rise by 4.46\u00b0F\/2.46\u00b0C from 2018 onward] by 2100, resulting in a [Gross World Product\u2014the combined sum of every country\u2019s income] loss of 2.6% \u2026.\u201d Keep in mind that a world 4.46\u00b0 Fahrenheit \/ 2.46 degrees Celsius warmer than 2018\u2019s is a lot warmer than the \u201c2 degree future\u201d Kerry probably had in mind\u20142 degrees C warmer than before the Industrial Revolution in the late eighteenth century. That would be only about 0.8 to 0.1 degrees Celsius &nbsp;[1.44 to .18 degree Fahrenheit] warmer than today\u2019s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cNonetheless,\u201d you think, \u201cwe sure don\u2019t want to lose 2.6 percent of gross world product, do we?\u201d Hold on. That would be 2.6 percent not from <em>present<\/em> production, but from production about nine times higher than the present, because, in moderate terms, <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/www.cgdev.org\/publication\/climate-change-may-have-only-small-effects-long-run-global-gdp-so-what___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6Y2M3Nzo0MmM5YjFlYjRlNmE0ZDg1NGY2ZWI3ZWRiMWY2YzcyNmU2NzlhOGM1YmQ5MGI5YzMxMTM2YzY0Mjg3MmFiMmFhOnA6VDpO\">according to the Center for Global Development<\/a>, barring another world war, even with unconstrained global warming we can expect about 3.1 percent annual growth in global production. (Despite the two world wars, average annual GWP growth in the twentieth century was about 3 percent, and technological advances, especially automation and AI, make it likely that it will be faster in the twenty-first.) From now to the end of the century, that would raise annual global production to just short of <em>nine times<\/em> what it is today. During the same time, global population, according to the United Nations Population Division, will rise to about 10.3 billion. In other words, with unconstrained warming, as illustrated in the graph below, the average person in the world would have annual income in 2100 almost nine times higher than he has today. Do you suppose that would make people better able to afford food?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"936\" height=\"560\" src=\"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16009\" srcset=\"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image.png 936w, https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-300x179.png 300w, https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-600x359.png 600w, https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-768x459.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 936px) 100vw, 936px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If you said, \u201cYes,\u201d go to the head of the class. And along the way, point out to your classmates that all that increased wealth has other life-saving side effects, too, like better and more affordable housing, communication, transportation, education, and health care.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nonetheless, the same John Kerry who demanded drastic cuts in greenhouse gas emissions from farming, <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/apnews.com\/article\/john-kerry-climate-change-negotiations-politics-770a981a9d065a1f68094940307e2369___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6MjBmMzphMzMxMmU4ODUyY2MyMWFhODg4YjViN2RjOTg4ODI4YjViYThkNTc0YjUxYjYzZmU0NmUzNDU1MzAwYmE0MmVmOnA6VDpO\">on March 4, 2024, cheered<\/a> that \u201cWe now have an agreement globally that we have to transition away from fossil fuel, that we have to do it with urgency, immediately in this decade, beginning now \u2026.\u201d Never mind about the ensuing 4 to 6 billion deaths.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Okay, so much for John Kerry. What about the general demand to pursue net zero?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here I\u2019ll draw further from Bj\u00f8rn Lomborg. Writing in <em>The Wall Street Journal<\/em> March 13, Lomborg made the following helpful six points, which I summarize:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Climate policy needs to take into account the costs of draconian measures, which are enormous.<br><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It is absurd to count only the benefits and not the costs of any proposed policy. For example, we could eliminate the roughly one million deaths worldwide from auto accidents by reducing speed limits to three miles per hour. But the consequences would be far more deaths from other causes.<br><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Saying \u201cjust follow the science\u201d is a copout. Science might tell us how much warming comes from how much greenhouse gas emissions, but it doesn\u2019t tell us how to balance the benefits and costs of the warming and its causes. As Lomborg puts it, \u201cWhen politicians tell us we must \u2018follow the science\u2019 toward extreme climate policies, they are really trying to shut down the discussion of enormous, unsustainable costs. We shouldn\u2019t let them.\u201d<br><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Climate change brings some real problems, but so do other things, and fighting climate change might reduce our ability to handle those other problems.<br><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Risks from poverty far outweigh risks from global warming, as is made clear by the fact that even while the world has warmed, human deaths from climate-related disasters have declined by over 98 percent.<br><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>While unconstrained climate change might reduce global production by about 2.6 percent by the end of the century\u2014from a level about nine times what it is today\u2014achieving net zero would cost an average $27 trillion per year from now to the end of the century, at which the annual cost would have risen to about $60 trillion per year. Those costs far outweigh any costs from climate change itself.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Lomborg concludes, and I quote, \u201cOur goal in forming climate policy should be the same we bring to traffic laws and any other political question: achieve more benefits than costs to society. A richer world is much more resilient against weather extremes. In the short term, therefore, policymakers should focus on lifting the billions of people still in poverty out of it, both because it will make them more resilient against extreme weather and because it will do so much good in a myriad of other ways.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I couldn\u2019t agree more. Chasing net zero is insanity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To learn more, visit <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___http:\/www.CornwallAlliance.org___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6MmQ0YTphZDE4MDczNGMzMGIwYWM4ODk1OGRmYzEyYWU4NTcxNTcyZTNiNzJlODRiNzg1OThjNmZiMGY5NWQwZWNkOWVhOnA6VDpO\">www.CornwallAlliance.org<\/a> and read <a href=\"https:\/\/url.avanan.click\/v2\/___https:\/cornwallalliance.org\/product\/climate-and-energy-a-case-for-realism\/___.YXAzOmNvcm53YWxsYWxsaWFuY2U6YTpvOjg4ZWZmMDkwMjcyMzhlZDMyNDBlY2ZmODk2MmE3MDIxOjY6NmE0ZjpiYjA5NTAxMzM2NmI5NTQ3Yzc1NDM0MjNlODNmNmE0YmFiYzRjY2Y3ZWQ1YTRjMjBlOTNhYmMyMDkzNjRkZTM0OnA6VDpO\"><em>Climate and Energy: The Case for Realism<\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What are the effects of net zero climate goals on society at large? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":16007,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"12","_seopress_titles_title":"What are the effects of net zero climate goals on society at large? ","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","inline_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[32,12,1812,38],"tags":[467,82,500],"scripture-reference":[],"post_folder":[],"ppma_author":[1903],"class_list":["post-16006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-article","category-concise","category-october-2024","category-theme","tag-government","tag-political-theology","tag-totalitarianism"],"acf":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/carl-schlabach-RxNScROw0BE-unsplash-scaled-e1728504925607.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-01-13 11:57:56","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"category","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"authors":[{"term_id":1903,"user_id":0,"is_guest":1,"slug":"e-calvin-beisner","display_name":"E. Calvin Beisner","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Calvin-Beisner.png","url2x":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Calvin-Beisner.png"},"author_category":"","job_title":"","church_city_state":"","last_name":"","first_name":"","church_site":"","user_url":"","description":"<b>E. Calvin Beisner<\/b>, Ph.D is founder, president, and chairman of The <a href=\"https:\/\/cornwallalliance.org\/\">Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation<\/a>, a Christian think tank embracing nearly 70 scholars dedicated to explaining how people can fulfill the mandate of Genesis 1:28 to fill and rule the Earth by enhancing its fruitfulness, beauty, and safety to the glory of God and the benefit of our neighbors. He has written thousands of articles, edited dozens of books, and written over fifteen books. He is a member of Grace Community Church (PCA) in Cordova, TN."}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16006","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16006"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16006\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22772,"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16006\/revisions\/22772"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16007"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16006"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16006"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16006"},{"taxonomy":"scripture-reference","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/scripture-reference?post=16006"},{"taxonomy":"post_folder","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_folder?post=16006"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christoverall.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=16006"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}